A step-by-step formula to determine the occupancy rate and bed count needed to cover your operating costs.
Your sober living home breaks even when total monthly expenses divided by revenue per occupied bed equals your current bed count - typically around 70% occupancy for most operators.
According to Vanderburgh House, the math is straightforward: break-even occupancy equals total monthly expenses divided by revenue per occupied bed. In practice, that means $7,200 in monthly operating expenses divided by $900 revenue per bed requires 8 occupied beds to break even.
The industry data reveals a problem. At 70% occupancy, many sober living homes can't cover expenses-a figure Sobriety Hub cites that assumes your revenue per bed and expense structure align perfectly. Most don't.
The occupancy bands tell a different story. Vanderburgh House research shows that at 80% occupancy, break-even becomes possible depending on rent levels, while 90-95% occupancy creates healthy margin potential. Mature operations run at 80-95% occupancy year-round, which is why experienced operators survive turnover cycles while newcomers struggle.
Revenue expectations matter more than break-even calculations suggest. Homes with solid systems gross $8,000-$10,000 per month, according to Kent Fai He. That assumes you've solved intake, retention, and house management to keep beds filled.
The upscale segment operates differently. Fixed overhead reaches $126,000 per month-or $1,512,000 annually, per Financial Models Lab-requiring different occupancy and pricing. These facilities target 92-96% average occupancy for sustainability, allowing flexibility for admissions, maintenance, and resident transitions.
Certification matters for occupancy. In Massachusetts, certified sober homes maintain occupancy 10-15% higher than non-certified counterparts.
Ikon Recovery Center points to 80-90% as the ideal occupancy rate for balanced community and financial stability. Oxford House of Colorado achieves 83.4% occupancy, showing that sustainable operations cluster in this range rather than pushing for maximum capacity.
Your break-even calculation becomes meaningless if you can't maintain the occupancy rate it requires. The data suggests most operators need systems that deliver performance well above their theoretical break-even point.
Note: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute legal advice. Consult a qualified attorney for guidance specific to your situation.

Nolan tracks the numbers behind the sober living industry: pricing trends, market dynamics, and the data that most operators never see. He came to recovery housing from real estate analytics and hasn't looked back. Based in New York.
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